Monday, 29 September 2014

Sector Technicals for the week ending – 26th September 2014.

Hi All, sorry for the late update but been a little busy over the weekend with some personal work. This weeks update just has the Nifty weekly technical analysis along with the update sector scan table.

The below table is just a scan that I run to check the overall trend of an index and its performance vs. the benchmark Nifty. For further information please read the signal description and the detailed sector technical analysis further below. For more information on relative strength please click on the Relative Strength section above.



Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis:


The 7850 zone proved to be a good support zone yet again last week - 2 weeks in a row now that we have bounced back from those levels. Momentum reading as per the 14 week RSI has cooled off from the overbought zone and the MACD has triggered a sell. A weekly close below supports of 7850 along with a weakening RSI would be the first red-flag. So far, price action suggests the index can move in a range with supports at 7850-7950 and resistance in the 8150-8200 zones. In the derivatives space, FII’s continue to be net long in index futures and have increased their net longs over the previous week while simultaneously increasing their long positions in put options (this has happened 3 weeks in a row now) suggesting some hedging activity indicative of a moderately bullish to range-bound trading view. Though the India VIX saw a bit of a rise, but it is still in its teens and does not reflect any build-up of risk of downside at the moment.



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