The below table is just a scan
that I run to check the overall trend of an index and its performance vs. the
benchmark Nifty. For further information please read the signal description and
the detailed sector technical analysis further below. For more information on
relative strength please click on the Relative Strength section above.
Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis:
As mentioned before, the Nifty is trading within
the price channel shown below and a break below or above this channel will
point to a trend/momentum shift. Technically, the MACD and the 14 week RSI
indicators are pointing to waning price momentum in the Nifty. However, it
would be prudent to call for a trend change only once the price channel is
broken to the downside along with a weekly close below 8150. The VIX closed at
above 17% level which is a bit alarming since one would expect a fall in VIX
during an up move – is the options market pricing in something different?. In
the past a weekly closing above 20% on the VIX has led to some turbulence in
the Nifty. On the flows front, FII’s are back with a massive long build-up in index
futures. Hence, the outlook still remains positive as the index is above is
lower price channel, VIX is below 20% and FII’s are on the long side in the
futures market.
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