Monday, 7 September 2015

Sector Technicals for the week ending – 6th September 2015.

Nifty Weekly Technical Analysis:
On the weekly timeframe the Nifty has broken through multiple supports and that too with a gap around 8150-8200 zone. Well, there are many calling for a bottom but from my readings looks like this sideways-downward bias move might last longer. So on the weekly timeframe we have :

1.    Flattish 40 week moving average – could possibly signal that Nifty could be stuck in a range & be listless over next few months.
2.     MACD<0 & RSI < 50 – This combination has not been good for the markets in previous instances & RSI has broken below 40 too. Also, still no evidence of RSI divergence on the weekly charts. So it feels like we may be in for a protracted listless market.
3.    In relative terms the Nifty/Bond ratio has been in favour of bonds since April & this ration has broken below its 2010 highs.

On the Monthly chart – the index has closed below its 10 month SMA and MACD is in sell mode. These readings have not been good news for the markets in the past, agree that the sample size is small but better to be on the backfoot here !

Thanks for reading J


Weekly charts : 



Monthly charts :


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