Saturday, 9 March 2019

Technicals for week ending – 1st March 2019.


Note : This is not a recommendation and I am not a registered analyst, these are just data points and an assessment of the positives and negatives from a longer term point of view.

Nifty Weekly

Chart 1. Longer term trend model based on weekly prices is sitting in cash. I am holding liquidbees ETF now. The model is very close to triggering a long signal.

Chart 2 Nifty total returns/10 year Bond index ratio is BELOW its 40-week MA & momentum also now favours Bond index, indicating longer term outperformance for bonds vs Nifty.

Chart 3 Longer term intermarket strength as per the RS matrix is in IT, Banks & Energy. With Auto and Metals at the bottom.

Chart 4 Improvement in other indices as some are now above their respective 40-week MA.

Chart 5 Avg. & Median distance of all sectors from their 52-week closing high is at -14.9% & -13.9%.



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