Sunday 5 November 2017

Technicals for week ending – 3rd November 2017.

Note : This is not a recommendation and I am not a registered analyst, these are just data points and an assessment of the positives and negatives from a longer term point of view.

Nifty Weekly

Chart 1 Another week and another all-time high close. Since there is no resistance, so no point trying to pick a turning point. As for short term risks – a close below the 10080-10120 band would indicate weakness. As for what is going on under the surface, well.. seems stocks have joined the bandwagon.


Chart 2 Nifty total returns/10 year Bond index ratio is above its 40-week MA & momentum also favours Nifty index, indicating longer term outperformance for Nifty vs bonds.

Chart 3 Longer term intermarket strength as per the RS matrix back in Realty & Metals. Also, Realty index is closing at 6 year highs!. They are a bit slow to signal so keep in mind the general conditions.

Chart 4 All indices are now above their 40-week MA.

Chart 5 Avg. & Median distance of all sectors from their 52-week closing high is at -2.4% & -0.2%.


Chart 6 FII flows in Index futures segment is net long & clients going overboard in long put options.

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