Friday 17 May 2019

Technicals for week ending – 17th May 2019.


Note : This is not a recommendation and I am not a registered analyst, these are just data points and an assessment of the positives and negatives from a longer term point of view.

Nifty Weekly

Chart 1. Longer term trend model based on weekly prices is in buy mode and I am holding Niftybees.

Chart 2 Nifty total returns/10 year Bond index ratio is ABOVE its 40-week MA & momentum also now favours Nifty, indicating longer term outperformance for Nifty vs Bonds.

Chart 3 Longer term intermarket strength as per the RS matrix is in Realty, Banks & IT. With Metals and Media at the bottom.

Chart 4 Most of the broader as well as sector indices are BELOW their respective 40-week MA. Previous instances have seen weak equity market performance going forward.

Chart 5 Avg. & Median distance of all sectors from their 52-week closing high is at -15.1% & -11.7%.



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