Saturday 22 June 2019

Technicals for week ending – 21st June 2019.


Note : This is not a recommendation and I am not a registered analyst, these are just data points and an assessment of the positives and negatives from a longer term point of view.

Nifty Weekly

Chart 1. Longer term trend model based on weekly prices is in buy mode and I am holding Niftybees.
Chart 2 Nifty total returns/10 year Bond index ratio is ABOVE its 40-week MA & momentum also now favours Nifty, indicating longer term outperformance for Nifty vs Bonds. However, the slope of the MA is pointing down.

Chart 3 Longer term intermarket strength as per the RS matrix is in Realty, Banks & Infra. With Pharma and Media at the bottom.

Chart 4 Most of the broader indices are above their respective 40-week MA, while a lot of the sector indices are still below their respective 40-week MA.

Chart 5 Avg. & Median distance of all sectors from their 52-week closing high is at -13% & -7.2%.



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